• Home
  • About
    • Background
    • LinkedIn
    • Presenting Activities
    • Internet Profile
    • About
    • www.cloud-native.info
    • AI Disclosure
  • Observability, Fluent(d) Bit & OpAMP
    • OpAMP Product
    • OpAMP Overview
    • Log Generator
    • Fluent Bit Classic to YAML Format configurations
  • My Books
    • Logs and Telemetry using Fluent Bit
      • Fluent Bit book
      • Book Resources in GitHub
    • Logging in Action with Fluentd, Kubernetes and More
      • Logging in Action with Fluentd – Book
      • Fluentd Book Resources
      • Fluentd & Fluent Bit Additional stuff
    • API & API Platform
      • API Useful Resources
    • Oracle Integration
      • Book Website
      • Useful Reading Sources
    • Publication Contributions
  • Resources
    • GitHub
    • Oracle Integration Site
    • Oracle Resources
    • Mindmaps Index
    • Useful Tech Resources
      • Fluentd & Fluent Bit Additional stuff
      • Recommended Tech Podcasts
      • Official Sources for Product Logos
      • Java and Graal Useful Links
      • DevTips
  • Music
    • Monster On Music
    • Music Listening
    • Music Reading

Phil (aka MP3Monster)'s Blog

~ from Technology to Music

Phil (aka MP3Monster)'s Blog

Tag Archives: ACME

Are we heading to a Certificate-apocalypse?

29 Thursday Oct 2026

Posted by mp3monster in development, General, Security, Technology

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

ACME, AI, certbot, certificates, CLM, Cloud, CMC, CMP, cybersecurity, SCEP, Security, Technology, TLS

Most engineers are probably aware of the shortening life span of TLS certificates. this year certificate maximum life drops from 398 to 200 days. But what may not have registered is that the roadmap sees the max certificate time will continue to half every year. This means that by 2029 certificate lifecycle will be down to 47 days (31 days (core duration) + core duration/2 days + 1 day). But before 2029, in less than six months we’ll see the current certificate durations half from 200 to 100 days. As with the 2026 change, the new limits come into effect on the 15th March. Which does create an odd situation where certificates issued on the 14th March will outlast certificates issued on the following day.

The addition of half the core duration period is to allow for the recovery from failures. as of 2029 the expectation is every month the certificates should be rotated.

Manual processes are unsustainable

This means that the rotation of certificates has got to be accelerated to be monthly, a velocity that is simply not practical to be done by hand. This means the deployment of certificates really needs to be automated. There are a number of frameworks and standards that support the distribution of certificates.

Perhaps the best known and leading solution has been ACME protocol working in conjunction with Let’s Encrypt CA. The least known is the use of OpAMP also supports certificate distribution. The following table shows the different standards that specifically address certificate management (CLM), some implementations are linked to a Certificate authority , others are not.

StandardSpecificationOpen-source implementationsCommercial implementations
ACMERFC 8555Certbot (client), acme.sh (client), lego (client), step-ca (server), Boulder (server)DigiCert, Sectigo, GlobalSign, EJBCA Enterprise
CMP / CMPv3RFC 9810EJBCA Community, Bouncy Castle (library)EJBCA Enterprise, DigiCert Trust Lifecycle Manager
ESTRFC 7030Cisco libEST (client/server library), EJBCA Community (edition-dependent)EJBCA Enterprise, DigiCert
SCEPRFC 8894MicroMDM SCEP, EJBCA CommunityMicrosoft Intune, EJBCA Enterprise, DigiCert
CMCRFC 5272Dogtag PKICommercial implementations are less prominent; verify explicit CMC support and supported operations with individual PKI vendors

To understand the differences between the different standards, it is worth looking at the standards from the perspective of the operations that are needed to manage certificates.

FunctionACMECMPESTSCEPVendor
CLM API
Certificate issuanceYesYesYesYesUsually
Certificate renewalYesYesYesYesUsually
Certificate revocationYesYesNo native operationLimitedUsually
CA certificate rolloverLimitedYesYesLimitedVaries
Central certificate inventoryNoNoNoNoUsually
Ownership / application mappingNoNoNoNoVaries
Policy managementLimitedLimitedLimitedLimitedUsually
Application deploymentNoNoNoNoVendor-specific
Application activationNoNoNoNoThrough integrations
Deployment verificationNoNoNoNoVaries

You’ll note that the deployment, activation and verification steps fall into the domain of vendor solutions, and are variable. However we can address such considerations in an open-source (or commercial) manner through tooling such as Puppet, Chef and certain payload types provided by OpAMP.

These CLM options aren’t the end of the story as you may wish to look more broadly at no just the request and distribution of certificates, but the mechanisms through which the certificate is stored, and there is an overlap with such management with keys as well as certificates. For example APIs may use keys of certificates to help verify authenticity of the request. This also extends to mTLS operations where the client needs certificate to verify the server requests. For example KMIP provides an interface that can support cryptographic object (keys, certificates (public, private, symmetric), secret data, PGP Keys).

StandardSpecificationOpen-source implementationsCommercial implementations
KMIPOASIS KMIPPyKMIP (Python client/server)HashiCorp Vault Enterprise, Thales CipherTrust
PKCS#11PKCS#11 v3.1SoftHSM, OpenSCHashiCorp Vault Enterprise, Thales Luna HSM
SCIMRFC 7644elimity SCIM (Go library)Microsoft Entra ID, Okta

Managing the impact

There are several impacts that need to be considered:

  • tracking certificate expiry
  • Last mile from client deployer to server folder and any refresh nudge required

Tracking certificate expiry

Traditionally certificate expiry management could be handled as a manual process – after all if you have a log of which systems had certificates then if you simply reviewed the list once a month, you could spot expiries with time to spare. Even if the certificate distribution process was automated across many nodes. This just isn’t going to work, and the contingency time incorporated into the certificate life is contracting. Rather than trusting to a tracker spreadsheet being managed we should really focus on actual certificate data. This points to having a means by which application observability has a reporting metric on when a certificate will expire (date or a number of days). The later will prove to be easier as a metrics measure, but the value needs to be in context of when the metric was collected.

Last mile challenge

While automation frameworks like Certbot and step-ca can drive the certificate issuance. These processes get the certificate to the relevant server. But we still need to move the certificate intro the location the application expects the certificate to be, and do we need to nudge the server to reload the certificate? Certbot for example expects to have a script to trigger for this action. This can get a little messy to deploy and maintain, particularly if there are subtle variances in deployments (as a result of manual application deployment in legacy environments), configuration creep etc. One possible way to simplify this is to leverage the capabilities of environment scanners to locate apps and their configs. Then use that to drive the auto creation of that last mile.

Why the change?

The history for the reduction has largely been driven by browser providers particularly Google and Apple, and their security concerns about the trustworthiness of the web’s public key infrastructure (PKI). Historically, certificates could remain valid for several years, creating a prolonged window of exposure if a private key was compromised, a certificate incorrect certificates being wrongly used (organization or domain information became outdated – fore example domain name changes, acquisition of services etc). Certificate revocation mechanisms, particularly CRLs and OCSP, have not proven to be reliable as a means of ensuring browsers quickly stop trusting compromised certificates. Shorter lifetimes reduce this exposure and encourage the automation of certificate management.

The driving of changes has shifted from browser providers unilaterally declaring they won’t trust certificates that are older than a certain age, to a more formalized process governed primarily by the CA/Browser Forum, (an independent body bringing together Certificate Authorities and browser vendors).

Useful resources

  1. A/Browser Forum — TLS Baseline Requirements, version 2.3.1 (4 October 2026), section 6.3.2. Authoritative current hard limits: 398 days before 15 March 2026; 200 days from that date; 100 days from 15 March 2027; 47 days from 15 March 2029. Section 1.1 and the revision history identify 1 July 2012 as the original effective date. https://cabforum.org/working-groups/server/baseline-requirements/requirements/
  2. CA/Browser Forum — FAQ for Baseline Requirements. Historical summary of the 60-month limit from July 2012 and the 39-month general limit from April 2015. This is a historical source, not the current rule set. https://cabforum.org/faq-about-the-baseline-requirements/
  3. CA/Browser Forum — Ballot 193: 825-day Certificate Lifetimes (17 March 2017). Establishes the March 2018 transition to 825 days; also records the preceding 39-month rule and the qualifying 60-month legacy exception through June 2016. The page contains amendment markup; read the replacement wording in context. https://cabforum.org/2017/03/17/ballot-193-825-day-certificate-lifetimes/
  4. Apple — About upcoming limits on trusted certificates. Announces the 398-day maximum for public TLS server certificates issued on or after 1 September 2020 and explains its scope. This change originated in browser/platform trust policy. https://support.apple.com/en-us/102028
  5. CA/Browser Forum — Ballot SC081v3: Introduce Schedule of Reducing Validity and Data Reuse Periods (11 April 2025). Records the successful vote for the 2026–2029 reductions; source 1 confirms the resulting current requirements. The April milestone is the vote result, not the end of the subsequent intellectual-property review period. https://cabforum.org/2025/04/11/ballot-sc081v3-introduce-schedule-of-reducing-validity-and-data-reuse-periods/
  6. IETF Datatracker — draft-barnes-acme-00 (28 January 2015). First revision of the ACME Internet-Draft, before working-group standardization. https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-barnes-acme/00/
  7. Let’s Encrypt / ISRG — Entering Public Beta (3 December 2015). Announces public availability without invitations. https://letsencrypt.org/2015/12/03/entering-public-beta
  8. Electronic Frontier Foundation — Announcing Certbot: EFF’s Client for Let’s Encrypt (May 2016). Explains the rename, the EFF home, and ACME-based issuance and configuration automation. https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2016/05/announcing-certbot-new-tls-robot
  9. Let’s Encrypt community — New name (Certbot) for Python Let’s Encrypt client (12 May 2016). Dated contemporary announcement linking to EFF’s announcement; supports the exact event date. https://community.letsencrypt.org/t/new-name-certbot-for-python-lets-encrypt-client/15688
  10. RFC Editor — RFC 8555: Automatic Certificate Management Environment (ACME), March 2019. Standards-track specification, published as a Proposed Standard. https://www.rfc-editor.org/info/rfc8555/
  11. ACME — RFC 8555: Automated Certificate Management Environment; supports automated certificate issuance, renewal and revocation.
  12. CMP / CMPv3 — RFC 9810: Certificate Management Protocol; supports PKI enrolment and certificate lifecycle operations.
  13. CMP over HTTP — RFC 9811: Defines HTTP transport for CMP messages.
  14. EST — RFC 7030: Enrollment over Secure Transport; supports certificate enrolment and re-enrolment over HTTPS.
  15. SCEP — RFC 8894: Simple Certificate Enrolment Protocol; commonly used for network devices.
  16. CMC — RFC 5272: Certificate Management over CMS; supports certificate requests and management messages. Updated to — RFC 10002: Updated specification superseding RFC 5272.
  17. KMIP 2.1 — OASIS KMIP 2.1 Specification: Key Management Interoperability Protocol; manages cryptographic keys, certificates and other cryptographic objects.
  18. PKCS#11 3.1 — OASIS PKCS#11 3.1 Specification: Cryptographic Token Interface; standard API for accessing cryptographic hardware and software tokens.
  19. SCIM 2.0 — RFC 7644: System for Cross-domain Identity Management; supports identity and account provisioning rather than certificate management.
  20. SPIFFE — SPIFFE Specifications: Secure Production Identity Framework for Everyone; standardizes workload identity across heterogeneous systems.
  21. X.509-SVID — X.509-SVID Specification: Defines X.509 certificates used for workload identity and authentication.
  22. X.509 PKIX — RFC 5280: Defines the Internet X.509 public key certificate and Certificate Revocation List (CRL) profile.
  23. CA/Browser Forum Baseline Requirements — Current Baseline Requirements: Industry requirements governing publicly trusted TLS certificate issuance, domain validation, security practices and maximum certificate validity periods.

Share this:

  • Share on Facebook (Opens in new window) Facebook
  • Share on X (Opens in new window) X
  • Share on Reddit (Opens in new window) Reddit
  • Share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window) LinkedIn
  • Email a link to a friend (Opens in new window) Email
  • Share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window) WhatsApp
  • Print (Opens in new window) Print
  • Share on Tumblr (Opens in new window) Tumblr
  • Share on Mastodon (Opens in new window) Mastodon
  • Share on Pinterest (Opens in new window) Pinterest
  • Share on Bluesky (Opens in new window) Bluesky
Like Loading...
    • About
      • AI Disclosure
      • Internet Profile
      • Music Buying
      • Presenting Activities
    • Books & Publications
      • Logging in Action with Fluentd, Kubernetes and More
      • Logs and Telemetry using Fluent Bit
      • Oracle Integration
      • API & API Platform
        • API Useful Resources
        • Useful Reading Sources
    • Mindmaps Index
    • Monster On Music
      • Music Listening
      • Music Reading
    • OpAMP explained: the control plane for observability agents
    • Oracle Resources
    • Useful Tech Resources
      • Fluentd & Fluent Bit Additional stuff
        • Logging Frameworks and Fluent Bit and Fluentd connectivity
        • REGEX for BIC and IBAN processing
      • Formatting etc
      • Java and Graal Useful Links
      • Official Sources for Product Logos
      • Python Setup & related tips
      • Recommended Tech Podcasts

    TOGAF 9

    Logs and Telemetry using Fluent Bit


    Logging in Action — Fluentd

    Logging in Action with Fluentd


    Oracle Ace Director Alumni

    Oracle Cloud Integration Book


    API Platform Book


    Oracle Dev Meetup London

    Blog Categories

    • App Ideas
    • Books
    • Enterprise architecture
    • General
      • ExternalWebPublications
      • LinkedIn
      • Website
    • Music
      • Music Resources
      • Music Reviews
    • Photography
    • Podcasts
    • Security
    • Technology
      • AI
      • APIs & microservices
      • chatbots
      • Cloud
      • Cloud Native
      • Dev Meetup
      • development
        • languages
      • drone
      • Fluent Observability
        • Fluentbit
        • Fluentd
        • OpAMP
      • logsimulator
      • mindmap
      • OMESA
      • Oracle
        • API Platform CS
          • tools
        • ITSO & OEAF
        • OIC – ICS
        • Oracle Cloud Native
        • OUG
      • railroad diagrams
      • TOGAF

    Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

    Join 2,628 other subscribers

    RSS

    RSS Feed RSS - Posts

    RSS Feed RSS - Comments

    October 2026
    M T W T F S S
     1234
    567891011
    12131415161718
    19202122232425
    262728293031  
    « Sep    

    Speaker Recognition

    Open Source Summit Speaker

    Twitter

    Tweets by mp3monster

    History

    Flickr Pics

    More Photos

    Social

    • View @mp3monster’s profile on Twitter
    • View philwilkins’s profile on LinkedIn
    • View mp3monster’s profile on GitHub
    • View mp3monster’s profile on Flickr
    • View mp3muncher’s profile on WordPress.org
    • View philmp3monster’s profile on Twitch
    Follow Phil (aka MP3Monster)'s Blog on WordPress.com

    Blog at WordPress.com.

    • Subscribe Subscribed
      Phil (aka MP3Monster)'s Blog
      Join 232 other subscribers

      Have a WordPress.com account? Log in now.

    • Phil (aka MP3Monster)'s Blog
      View site in Reader
      Manage subscriptionsSign upLog in
      Report this content
      Collapse this bar
    Loading Comments...

    You must be logged in to post a comment.

    Privacy & Cookies: This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this website, you agree to their use.
    To find out more, including how to control cookies, see here: Our Cookie Policy
    %d